In a Grand Slam, the more you advance in the competition, the rarer it is to see surprises. Quite the opposite of what sometimes happens in the first week. Here is the enigma that you will have to solve if you want to bet on this game: will Su-Wei Hsieh, whose odds reach 7.40, create a huge sensation by dominating Naomi Osaka, the favourite with more than 90%? On paper, there is no debate. Only, the Taiwanese woman has not ceased to amaze the observers since the beginning of the fortnight. Her career is indeed remarkable: Tsvetana Pironkova, Bianca Andreescu, Sara Errani and Marketa Vondrousova have been left behind, unable to find solutions to the problems posed by the so atypical game of the 71st player in the world. Changes of rhythm, accelerations, slices, volleys, counter-time, everything goes. She reminds some people that she was 23rd in the WTA rankings in 2013... On the other side of the net stands a great champion. Naomi Osaka is only 23 years old, but she already has much more experience in the Majors than her opponent, who is 12 years older. On her way, the Japanese girl first left only crumbs: 3 games to Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, 5 to Caroline Garcia and Ons Jabeur. It was much more complicated against Garbine Muguruza (4-6, 6-4, 7-5, with 2 match points saved). Surprising? Not at all, so much so that the Spaniard played fire for almost two hours. It took a lot of concentration and aggressiveness for the number 3 in the world to get out of it. But on the whole, she succeeded in her game: 11 aces, 70% of the points won behind her first one, 40 winning points for 36 direct faults. The only downside, however, is that she only converted 5 break balls out of 14, i.e. only 36%. No doubt Naomi Osaka will be keen to rectify the situation against Su-Wei Hsieh. A task largely within her reach, especially since the second service ball, not very fast, is the weak point of the Taiwanese player's game. In her first 4 matches, she oscillated between 25 and 50% of points won behind her second. A godsend for the Japanese who, because of her power, has the weapons to hurt her opponent in one, two or three strokes of the racket. The previous confrontations are very enlightening: 4/1 for Osaka, but 3 victories out of 4 were won in pain. Except on Stuttgart ground, Hsieh has always taken at least one set in each duel against Osaka. Better still, she has even beaten the three-time Grand Slam champion in Miami in 2019. The strength of the Taiwanese? Her "coolness"! Although she is playing in her first quarter-final in a Major, she seems very relaxed, as her statements before the match attest: "I'm confusing her? Do I really upset her? I'm really confusing her?" "Okay, fine. But I don't think that's the case anymore (Osaka won the last two oppositions). We all know that she is a very good player. I don't worry, she'll probably crush me on the field, but I'll try to play my game and we'll see what happens. "The problem is that Naomi Osaka seems to have regained the serenity and freshness that enabled her to win her first two Grand Slams, in New York in 2018 and Melbourne in 2019. Under these conditions, the world's No. 3 should find the mental resources to survive the Su-Wei Hsieh trap. But to what extent? That's the question... Julien Varlet's eye: Everyone knows her now, Su-Wei Hsieh has a game of her own, with two hands on both sides. So of course, she's going to cover her tracks. But that shouldn't be enough, in my opinion. The Taiwanese girl is ten times less powerful than Naomi Osaka. I can see a scenario where Hsieh is going to make an illusion during the first set, before the Japanese girl gets used to her ball and moves up a gear in the second set. I love her atypical game, but I can't imagine her getting the better of Osaka who has good footwork to counter the Taiwanese's game.
⭐️ Hsieh scores at least 6.5 games - Odd 1.60
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